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Too much information kills the decision

Gilles Duplay, founder of ARXIBALD 4 min read
Gilles Duplay, founder of ARXIBALD
The ARXIBALD method
« Boldness is not a temperament. It is a decision. »
Gilles Duplay, founder of ARXIBALD

There is one thing worth knowing, and it may come as a surprise:
very often, hostage rescues succeed by chance.

A personal account

The first time, we had no information at all.
It was on the very last bound that the group came upon them,
The two men were tied to a tree,
They were lucky.

The second time, we had 50% of the information.
We suspected there were some, without knowing exactly where,
On the ground, it was chaos, all night long,
But the mission succeeded.

The third time, we knew everything.
The thickness of the doors, the timing of the patrols,
The man was sending us videos on WhatsApp,
Then time passed, without a single decision.

Boldness is the key

What must be understood is that the success of a project, whether military or entrepreneurial, never rests on the amount of information gathered beforehand.

It rests on the capacity for boldness.

We often imagine that boldness means:

This is wrong.

Boldness is not a temperament. It is a decision.

Deciding means applying a method

And deciding with partial information is possible, with a method.

The ARXIBALD method was developed with this in mind.
It transposes, into businesses, the ability to succeed collectively under uncertainty, with the minimum of available information. It rests on two pillars: clarity and simplicity.

This method is taught at the Special Forces school for businesses. It brings entrepreneurs together around one idea: « Who Dares Wins ».

Learn to decide with the minimum of information

The ARXIBALD decision-making training trains leaders and their teams to decide fast, clearly and collectively, under uncertainty.

Discover the decision-making training →
In brief
  • The success of a project, military or entrepreneurial, never rests on the amount of information gathered beforehand.
  • Boldness is not a temperament: it is a decision.
  • Deciding with partial information is possible with a method, which rests on two pillars: clarity and simplicity.
Gilles Duplay, founder of ARXIBALD
Gilles Duplay Founder of ARXIBALD, the Special Forces school for businesses

Frequently asked questions

Should you wait until you have all the information before deciding?

No. Beyond a certain threshold, additional information no longer reduces the risk: it delays the decision. In the field as in business, the best operations are often those decided with partial information, but with a clear method and total commitment to execution.

What is boldness when it comes to decision-making?

Boldness is neither a temperament nor a taste for risk. It is a decision made with very little information, structured by a method: a clear framework, an explicit success criterion, an identified decision-maker and a collective commitment to execution.

What does the ARXIBALD decision-making method rest on?

On two pillars: clarity and simplicity. The ARXIBALD method transposes to the business world the Special Forces ability to decide collectively under uncertainty, with the minimum of available information.

How can you train your executive committee to decide under uncertainty?

By training in real conditions rather than in theory. The ARXIBALD decision-making training is based on the 70/20/10 approach: 70% hands-on practice, 20% feedback, 10% theory. It takes place in-house or as an immersive seminar, led by professionals from the Special Forces.

What does the motto « Who Dares Wins » mean?

« Who Dares Wins » is the motto of the founders of the modern concept of « Special Forces ». It does not celebrate recklessness but decisive commitment: victory goes to the one who dares to decide and act, while others are still waiting to know more or persist in their mistake at the cry of « Forward ».

Who Dares Wins

Train your executive committee to decide fast and well, with the minimum of information, alongside professionals from the Special Forces.

Discover our training